Randers FC – Brøndby IF odds
Brøndby IF went into the match as clear favourites against Randers FC.
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Randers FC – Brøndby IF: closing odds analysis
- Brøndby IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of an away win, 26% for Randers FC and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Randers FC 4.10 at VBET, the draw 4.33 at VBET, Brøndby IF 2.00 at Casinomoto.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.80 at the opening to 4.33 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Randers FC or Brøndby IF?
Brøndby IF, clearly: the closing odds put 22.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Randers FC – Brøndby IF?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Randers FC, VBET on the draw and Casinomoto on Brøndby IF. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (97.9%) and Bet25 the least (86.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | RANDERS FC | DRAW | BRØNDBY IF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 4.10 best price | 4.33 best price | 1.83 | 97.9% |
| ComeOn | 3.67 | 3.92 | 1.99 | 97.1% |
| Casinomoto | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.00 best price | 96.1% |
| Oddset | 3.65 | 3.85 | 1.95 | 95.6% |
| Expekt | 3.55 | 3.90 | 1.95 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.96 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.80 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 3.80 | 3.95 | 1.83 | 94.1% |
| Betoro | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.92 | 93.9% |
| GetLucky | 3.53 | 3.78 | 1.91 | 93.3% |
| Casinostuen | 3.53 | 3.78 | 1.91 | 93.3% |
| Betinia | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 92.7% |
| CampoBet | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 92.2% |
| Betmaster | 3.35 | 3.55 | 1.89 | 90.1% |
| Bet25 | 3.10 | 3.65 | 1.78 | 86.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.10 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 102.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.10–4.10 · 32.3% | 3.55–4.33 · 22.0% | 1.78–2.00 · 12.4% | 86.3–97.9% |
How did the Randers FC – Brøndby IF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.80 when odds opened on 18 Oct to 4.33 at kick-off, a 13.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RANDERS FC | DRAW | BRØNDBY IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 18 Oct (open) | 3.80 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 3.66 | 3.86 | 2.05 |
| Fri 23 Oct (kick-off) | 4.10 | 4.33 | 2.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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