Deportivo Alavés – Málaga odds
Deportivo Alavés went into the match as heavy favourites against Málaga.
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Deportivo Alavés – Málaga: closing odds analysis
- Deportivo Alavés were favourites: the closing odds implied a 58% chance of a home win, 16% for Málaga and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Deportivo Alavés 1.76 at Oddset, the draw 3.95 at Stake, Málaga 6.33 at Betinia.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Málaga drifted from 4.40 at the opening to 6.33 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance of three or more goals and 45% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Deportivo Alavés or Málaga?
Deportivo Alavés, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Deportivo Alavés – Málaga?
It depended on the outcome: Oddset was best on Deportivo Alavés, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Málaga. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.2%) and Bet25 the least (91.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS | DRAW | MÁLAGA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.63 | 3.78 | 6.20 | 96.2% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 3.95 best price | 6.20 | 96.2% |
| Betinia | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.33 best price | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.33 best price | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.33 best price | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.33 best price | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.33 best price | 95.3% |
| bwin | 1.60 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 94.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.58 | 3.86 | 6.09 | 94.7% |
| Oddset | 1.76 best price | 3.60 | 4.75 | 94.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.57 | 3.83 | 6.03 | 94.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.57 | 3.83 | 6.03 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 1.59 | 3.65 | 5.80 | 93.0% |
| 888sport | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.60 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.60 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.60 | 91.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.76 | 3.95 | 6.33 | 102.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.55–1.76 · 13.5% | 3.40–3.95 · 16.2% | 4.60–6.33 · 37.6% | 91.7–96.2% |
How did the Deportivo Alavés – Málaga odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Málaga drifted from 4.40 when odds opened on 14 Oct to 6.33 at kick-off, a 43.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS | DRAW | MÁLAGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct (open) | 1.85 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.83 | 4.20 | 4.85 |
| Fri 23 Oct (kick-off) | 1.76 | 3.95 | 6.33 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 44.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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