Žalgiris Kaunas – Brann odds
Brann went into the match as heavy favourites against Žalgiris Kaunas.
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2nd Half
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Žalgiris Kaunas – Brann: closing odds analysis
- Brann were favourites: the closing odds implied a 54% chance of an away win, 21% for Žalgiris Kaunas and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Žalgiris Kaunas 4.85 at Betano, the draw 4.33 at SpreadEx, Brann 1.78 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Žalgiris Kaunas drifted from 4.25 at the opening to 4.85 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance of three or more goals and 49% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Žalgiris Kaunas or Brann?
Brann, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Žalgiris Kaunas – Brann?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Žalgiris Kaunas, SpreadEx on the draw and Stake on Brann. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS | DRAW | BRANN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 4.85 best price | 3.65 | 1.75 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 4.50 | 3.65 | 1.78 best price | 94.5% |
| SpreadEx | 4.33 | 4.33 best price | 1.67 | 94.2% |
| Bet25 | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.72 | 93.9% |
| Betoro | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.72 | 93.7% |
| Casino House | 4.33 | 4.25 | 1.66 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 93.2% |
| Mr Green | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 93.2% |
| ComeOn | 4.66 | 3.62 | 1.70 | 92.7% |
| Casinomoto | 3.80 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 92.7% |
| VBET | 4.30 | 3.71 | 1.73 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 4.25 | 3.80 | 1.71 | 92.3% |
| CampoBet | 4.25 | 3.80 | 1.71 | 92.3% |
| GetLucky | 4.61 | 3.58 | 1.69 | 91.9% |
| Casinostuen | 4.61 | 3.58 | 1.69 | 91.9% |
| bwin | 4.40 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 91.0% |
| Betmaster | 4.40 | 3.40 | 1.70 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.85 | 4.33 | 1.78 | 100.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.80–4.85 · 27.6% | 3.40–4.33 · 27.4% | 1.66–1.78 · 7.2% | 90.1–95.1% |
How did the Žalgiris Kaunas – Brann odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Žalgiris Kaunas drifted from 4.25 when odds opened on 18 Oct to 4.85 at kick-off, a 14.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS | DRAW | BRANN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 18 Oct (open) | 4.25 | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 4.35 | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 4.85 | 4.33 | 1.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 48.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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