Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia odds
Viktoria Plzeň went into the match as heavy favourites against Levski Sofia.
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Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia: closing odds analysis
- Viktoria Plzeň were favourites: the closing odds implied a 54% chance of a home win, 21% for Levski Sofia and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Viktoria Plzeň 1.80 at Expekt, the draw 3.90 at Bet25, Levski Sofia 4.75 at Betinia.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Viktoria Plzeň drifted from 1.73 at the opening to 1.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Viktoria Plzeň or Levski Sofia?
Viktoria Plzeň, by a distance: the closing odds put 33.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia?
It depended on the outcome: Expekt was best on Viktoria Plzeň, Bet25 on the draw and Betinia on Levski Sofia. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ | DRAW | LEVSKI SOFIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 1.72 | 3.90 best price | 4.75 best price | 95.4% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.75 best price | 95.4% |
| bwin | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 94.3% |
| ComeOn | 1.70 | 3.86 | 4.66 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.60 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.75 best price | 94.2% |
| Casino House | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.75 best price | 94.2% |
| Betinia | 1.71 | 3.66 | 4.75 best price | 93.6% |
| CampoBet | 1.71 | 3.66 | 4.75 best price | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 1.69 | 3.83 | 4.61 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 1.69 | 3.83 | 4.61 | 93.5% |
| Bet25 | 1.70 | 3.90 best price | 4.40 | 93.3% |
| SpreadEx | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 93.2% |
| Expekt | 1.80 best price | 3.65 | 4.00 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 | 91.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 | 91.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.68 | 3.55 | 4.30 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 97.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.68–1.80 · 7.1% | 3.55–3.90 · 9.9% | 4.00–4.75 · 18.8% | 90.1–95.4% |
How did the Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Viktoria Plzeň drifted from 1.73 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 1.80 at kick-off, a 4.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ | DRAW | LEVSKI SOFIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 1.73 | 3.95 | 4.60 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.73 | 4.05 | 4.50 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 51.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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