Union Saint-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er Sheva odds
Union Saint-Gilloise went into the match as heavy favourites against Hapoel Be'er Sheva.
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Union Saint-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er Sheva: closing odds analysis
- Union Saint-Gilloise were favourites: the closing odds implied a 66% chance of a home win, 14% for Hapoel Be'er Sheva and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Union Saint-Gilloise 1.46 at bwin, the draw 5.00 at 888sport, Hapoel Be'er Sheva 9.00 at 888sport.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hapoel Be'er Sheva shortened from 8.50 at the opening to 6.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Union Saint-Gilloise or Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
Union Saint-Gilloise, by a distance: the closing odds put 52.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Union Saint-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Union Saint-Gilloise, 888sport on the draw and 888sport on Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | UNION SAINT-GILLOISE | DRAW | HAPOEL BE'ER SHEVA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 1.43 | 5.00 best price | 6.75 | 95.5% |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.90 | 6.40 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 1.46 best price | 4.75 | 6.25 | 94.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.42 | 4.95 | 6.64 | 94.6% |
| Stake | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.60 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.33 | 94.1% |
| Betoro | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.33 | 94.1% |
| Casino House | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.33 | 94.1% |
| Betinia | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 93.7% |
| Expekt | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 1.40 | 4.91 | 6.57 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 1.40 | 4.91 | 6.57 | 93.4% |
| VBET | 1.42 | 4.60 | 6.50 | 93.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.41 | 5.00 best price | 6.00 | 92.9% |
| 888sport | 1.30 | 5.00 best price | 9.00 best price | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.30 | 5.00 best price | 9.00 best price | 92.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.42 | 4.50 | 5.80 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.46 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 100.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.30–1.46 · 12.3% | 4.50–5.00 · 11.1% | 5.80–9.00 · 55.2% | 91.0–95.5% |
How did the Union Saint-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er Sheva odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hapoel Be'er Sheva shortened from 8.50 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 6.75 at kick-off, a 20.6% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | UNION SAINT-GILLOISE | DRAW | HAPOEL BE'ER SHEVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 1.35 | 5.75 | 8.50 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.32 | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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