Pafos – Riga FC odds
Pafos went into the match as heavy favourites against Riga FC.
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Pafos – Riga FC: closing odds analysis
- Pafos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 53% chance of a home win, 22% for Riga FC and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Pafos 1.95 at Stake, the draw 4.20 at Casino House, Riga FC 5.50 at Casino House.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Pafos drifted from 1.57 at the opening to 1.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Pafos or Riga FC?
Pafos, by a distance: the closing odds put 31.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Pafos – Riga FC?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Pafos, Casino House on the draw and Casino House on Riga FC. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | PAFOS | DRAW | RIGA FC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.50 | 95.5% |
| Stake | 1.95 best price | 3.60 | 3.70 | 94.3% |
| Casino House | 1.55 | 4.20 best price | 5.50 best price | 93.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.69 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 93.9% |
| Betoro | 1.69 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 93.2% |
| Betinia | 1.68 | 3.66 | 4.75 | 92.7% |
| CampoBet | 1.68 | 3.66 | 4.75 | 92.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.72 | 3.72 | 4.36 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.93 | 3.47 | 3.65 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 92.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.71 | 3.68 | 4.32 | 91.9% |
| Casinostuen | 1.71 | 3.68 | 4.32 | 91.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 91.4% |
| bwin | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 91.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.72 | 3.50 | 4.10 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.95 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 107.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.55–1.95 · 25.8% | 3.40–4.20 · 23.5% | 3.60–5.50 · 52.8% | 90.0–95.5% |
How did the Pafos – Riga FC odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Pafos drifted from 1.57 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 1.75 at kick-off, a 11.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PAFOS | DRAW | RIGA FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 1.57 | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.67 | 4.00 | 5.66 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 1.75 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 55.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.