Omonia Nicosia – Benfica odds
Benfica went into the match as heavy favourites against Omonia Nicosia.
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Omonia Nicosia – Benfica: closing odds analysis
- Benfica were favourites: the closing odds implied a 72% chance of an away win, 11% for Omonia Nicosia and 17% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Omonia Nicosia 9.00 at Oddset, the draw 6.00 at Bet25, Benfica 1.32 at bwin.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 7.10 at the opening to 9.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance of three or more goals and 54% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Omonia Nicosia or Benfica?
Benfica, by a distance: the closing odds put 60.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Omonia Nicosia – Benfica?
It depended on the outcome: Oddset was best on Omonia Nicosia, Bet25 on the draw and bwin on Benfica. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | OMONIA NICOSIA | DRAW | BENFICA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 9.00 best price | 6.00 best price | 1.30 | 95.5% |
| Betano | 8.75 | 5.60 | 1.32 best price | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 8.92 | 5.84 | 1.29 | 94.5% |
| Betoro | 8.00 | 5.66 | 1.32 best price | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 8.00 | 5.66 | 1.32 best price | 94.4% |
| Stake | 8.00 | 5.80 | 1.31 | 94.3% |
| SpreadEx | 9.00 best price | 5.80 | 1.29 | 94.2% |
| Betinia | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.32 best price | 94.0% |
| CampoBet | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.32 best price | 94.0% |
| bwin | 7.50 | 5.75 | 1.32 best price | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 8.00 | 6.00 best price | 1.29 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 8.83 | 5.79 | 1.28 | 93.7% |
| Casinostuen | 8.83 | 5.79 | 1.28 | 93.7% |
| Expekt | 8.50 | 5.60 | 1.29 | 93.3% |
| VBET | 7.90 | 5.30 | 1.31 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 91.4% |
| Betmaster | 7.60 | 5.40 | 1.28 | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.32 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 7.50–9.00 · 20.0% | 5.00–6.00 · 20.0% | 1.28–1.32 · 3.1% | 91.1–95.5% |
How did the Omonia Nicosia – Benfica odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Omonia Nicosia drifted from 7.10 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 9.00 at kick-off, a 26.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | OMONIA NICOSIA | DRAW | BENFICA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 7.10 | 4.85 | 1.43 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.42 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.32 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 54.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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