Olympiacos – Sparta Prague odds
Olympiacos went into the match as heavy favourites against Sparta Prague.
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Olympiacos – Sparta Prague: closing odds analysis
- Olympiacos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 63% chance of a home win, 15% for Sparta Prague and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Olympiacos 1.50 at Betano, the draw 4.60 at Stake, Sparta Prague 6.80 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sparta Prague drifted from 5.40 at the opening to 6.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 49% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Olympiacos or Sparta Prague?
Olympiacos, by a distance: the closing odds put 47.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Olympiacos – Sparta Prague?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Olympiacos, Stake on the draw and Stake on Sparta Prague. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.6%) and Betmaster the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | OLYMPIACOS | DRAW | SPARTA PRAGUE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.50 best price | 4.35 | 6.70 | 95.6% |
| bwin | 1.49 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 95.5% |
| Oddset | 1.50 best price | 4.50 | 6.25 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 1.44 | 4.60 best price | 6.80 best price | 94.4% |
| ComeOn | 1.48 | 4.46 | 6.24 | 94.3% |
| SpreadEx | 1.50 best price | 4.40 | 6.00 | 94.3% |
| Betoro | 1.50 best price | 4.33 | 6.00 | 94.0% |
| Casino House | 1.50 best price | 4.33 | 6.00 | 94.0% |
| Betinia | 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 93.9% |
| CampoBet | 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.48 | 4.50 | 5.80 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.46 | 4.42 | 6.18 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 1.46 | 4.42 | 6.18 | 93.2% |
| Expekt | 1.48 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 1.50 best price | 4.20 | 5.75 | 92.7% |
| Mr Green | 1.50 best price | 4.20 | 5.75 | 92.7% |
| VBET | 1.44 | 4.30 | 6.50 | 92.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.47 | 4.10 | 5.60 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.50 | 4.60 | 6.80 | 97.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.44–1.50 · 4.2% | 4.10–4.60 · 12.2% | 5.60–6.80 · 21.4% | 90.7–95.6% |
How did the Olympiacos – Sparta Prague odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sparta Prague drifted from 5.40 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 6.70 at kick-off, a 24.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | OLYMPIACOS | DRAW | SPARTA PRAGUE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 1.50 | 4.50 | 6.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 48.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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