Monaco – Freiburg odds
Monaco went into the match as narrow favourites against Freiburg.
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Monaco – Freiburg: closing odds analysis
- Monaco were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 33% for Freiburg and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Monaco 2.38 at SpreadEx, the draw 3.75 at Bet25, Freiburg 3.00 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Monaco drifted from 2.27 at the opening to 2.38 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Monaco or Freiburg?
Monaco, but only just: the closing odds put 8.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Monaco – Freiburg?
It depended on the outcome: SpreadEx was best on Monaco, Bet25 on the draw and Betinia on Freiburg. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.3%) and Bet25 the least (91.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | MONACO | DRAW | FREIBURG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.23 | 3.65 | 2.95 | 94.2% |
| SpreadEx | 2.38 best price | 3.50 | 2.80 | 94.0% |
| Betoro | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.00 best price | 93.8% |
| Casino House | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.00 best price | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.31 | 3.62 | 2.77 | 93.4% |
| VBET | 2.18 | 3.55 | 2.95 | 92.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.29 | 3.58 | 2.75 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.29 | 3.58 | 2.75 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.00 best price | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.00 best price | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 92.1% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 91.4% |
| Bet25 | 2.22 | 3.75 best price | 2.65 | 91.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.38 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 97.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.16–2.38 · 10.0% | 3.40–3.75 · 10.3% | 2.65–3.00 · 13.2% | 91.4–95.3% |
How did the Monaco – Freiburg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Monaco drifted from 2.27 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 2.38 at kick-off, a 4.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MONACO | DRAW | FREIBURG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 2.27 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 2.25 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 2.38 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.