Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad odds
Real Sociedad went into the match as heavy favourites against Lillestrøm.
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Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad: closing odds analysis
- Real Sociedad were favourites: the closing odds implied a 68% chance of an away win, 14% for Lillestrøm and 17% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lillestrøm 7.40 at Stake, the draw 5.60 at Stake, Real Sociedad 1.40 at 888sport.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lillestrøm drifted from 5.60 at the opening to 6.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lillestrøm or Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad, by a distance: the closing odds put 53.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Lillestrøm, Stake on the draw and 888sport on Real Sociedad. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.8%) and Betmaster the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | LILLESTRØM | DRAW | REAL SOCIEDAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 6.75 | 5.50 | 1.38 | 94.8% |
| ComeOn | 6.74 | 5.55 | 1.37 | 94.5% |
| Betoro | 6.66 | 5.33 | 1.38 | 94.1% |
| Casino House | 6.66 | 5.33 | 1.38 | 94.1% |
| GetLucky | 6.67 | 5.50 | 1.35 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 6.67 | 5.50 | 1.35 | 93.2% |
| Expekt | 6.50 | 5.40 | 1.36 | 93.1% |
| VBET | 7.20 | 5.30 | 1.33 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 best price | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 best price | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 5.80 | 5.60 best price | 1.36 | 92.1% |
| Betmaster | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 | 90.7% |
| Stake | 7.40 best price | 5.60 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 7.40 | 5.60 | 1.40 | 97.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.80–7.40 · 27.6% | 5.00–5.60 · 12.0% | 1.33–1.40 · 5.3% | 90.7–94.8% |
How did the Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lillestrøm drifted from 5.60 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 6.80 at kick-off, a 21.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LILLESTRØM | DRAW | REAL SOCIEDAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 5.60 | 4.75 | 1.53 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 5.80 | 4.75 | 1.55 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 6.80 | 5.60 | 1.44 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 56.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.