Lech Poznan – Sunderland odds
Sunderland went into the match as heavy favourites against Lech Poznan.
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Lech Poznan – Sunderland: closing odds analysis
- Sunderland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of an away win, 24% for Lech Poznan and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lech Poznan 4.50 at Casino House, the draw 4.00 at Casino House, Sunderland 1.88 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sunderland drifted from 1.67 at the opening to 1.88 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lech Poznan or Sunderland?
Sunderland, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lech Poznan – Sunderland?
It depended on the outcome: Casino House was best on Lech Poznan, Casino House on the draw and bwin on Sunderland. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | LECH POZNAN | DRAW | SUNDERLAND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.85 | 1.85 | 95.5% |
| Oddset | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.88 best price | 95.4% |
| bwin | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.88 best price | 94.5% |
| Casinomoto | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.84 | 94.3% |
| Casino House | 4.50 best price | 4.00 best price | 1.70 | 94.3% |
| SpreadEx | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.85 | 94.3% |
| ComeOn | 3.96 | 3.71 | 1.85 | 94.1% |
| Betinia | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.81 | 93.5% |
| CampoBet | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.81 | 93.5% |
| GetLucky | 3.93 | 3.68 | 1.84 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 3.93 | 3.68 | 1.84 | 93.5% |
| Expekt | 3.85 | 3.70 | 1.83 | 92.9% |
| VBET | 3.99 | 3.76 | 1.77 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 92.4% |
| Mr Green | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.82 | 92.4% |
| Betmaster | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.78 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.88 | 99.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.75–4.50 · 20.0% | 3.50–4.00 · 14.3% | 1.70–1.88 · 10.6% | 90.0–95.5% |
How did the Lech Poznan – Sunderland odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sunderland drifted from 1.67 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 1.88 at kick-off, a 12.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LECH POZNAN | DRAW | SUNDERLAND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.67 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 5.20 | 4.33 | 1.65 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.88 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 57.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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