Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos odds
Panathinaikos went into the match as heavy favourites against Kairat Almaty.
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Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos: closing odds analysis
- Panathinaikos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of an away win, 18% for Kairat Almaty and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Kairat Almaty 5.70 at VBET, the draw 4.20 at Stake, Panathinaikos 1.64 at Casino House.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Kairat Almaty drifted from 4.10 at the opening to 5.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Kairat Almaty or Panathinaikos?
Panathinaikos, by a distance: the closing odds put 41.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Kairat Almaty, Stake on the draw and Casino House on Panathinaikos. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | KAIRAT ALMATY | DRAW | PANATHINAIKOS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 5.60 | 4.10 | 1.60 | 95.5% |
| Stake | 5.60 | 4.20 best price | 1.56 | 94.5% |
| Casinomoto | 5.33 | 4.20 best price | 1.57 | 94.1% |
| Betoro | 5.33 | 4.20 best price | 1.57 | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 5.60 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 5.20 | 4.20 best price | 1.57 | 93.7% |
| Casino House | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.64 best price | 93.4% |
| ComeOn | 5.35 | 4.06 | 1.55 | 92.7% |
| VBET | 5.70 best price | 3.97 | 1.53 | 92.5% |
| Betinia | 5.33 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 5.33 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 91.9% |
| GetLucky | 5.30 | 4.02 | 1.53 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 5.30 | 4.02 | 1.53 | 91.7% |
| bwin | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.53 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.57 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.55 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 5.70 | 4.20 | 1.64 | 97.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.75–5.70 · 20.0% | 3.80–4.20 · 10.5% | 1.53–1.64 · 7.2% | 90.2–95.5% |
How did the Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Kairat Almaty drifted from 4.10 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 5.60 at kick-off, a 36.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | KAIRAT ALMATY | DRAW | PANATHINAIKOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.88 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 4.85 | 3.95 | 1.70 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 5.60 | 4.20 | 1.64 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 50.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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