Jagiellonia Białystok – Anderlecht odds
Anderlecht went into the match as narrow favourites against Jagiellonia Białystok.
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Jagiellonia Białystok – Anderlecht: closing odds analysis
- Anderlecht were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of an away win, 32% for Jagiellonia Białystok and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Jagiellonia Białystok 3.15 at Stake, the draw 3.60 at Betoro, Anderlecht 2.34 at Oddset.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Jagiellonia Białystok or Anderlecht?
Anderlecht, but only just: the closing odds put 9.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Jagiellonia Białystok – Anderlecht?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Jagiellonia Białystok, Betoro on the draw and Oddset on Anderlecht. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK | DRAW | ANDERLECHT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.34 best price | 95.4% |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.30 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 3.15 best price | 3.50 | 2.19 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 2.90 | 3.60 best price | 2.28 | 94.2% |
| Casino House | 2.90 | 3.60 best price | 2.28 | 94.2% |
| Betinia | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 94.0% |
| CampoBet | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 94.0% |
| ComeOn | 2.92 | 3.47 | 2.31 | 94.0% |
| Expekt | 2.88 | 3.45 | 2.30 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.90 | 3.43 | 2.29 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.90 | 3.43 | 2.29 | 93.2% |
| SpreadEx | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 93.1% |
| VBET | 3.14 | 3.41 | 2.13 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.24 | 92.1% |
| Betmaster | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.25 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.15 | 3.60 | 2.34 | 97.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.80–3.15 · 12.5% | 3.25–3.60 · 10.8% | 2.13–2.34 · 9.9% | 90.1–95.4% |
How did the Jagiellonia Białystok – Anderlecht odds move before kick-off?
The best prices barely moved between the opening on 16 Oct and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 1.3%.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK | DRAW | ANDERLECHT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.32 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.27 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 3.01 | 3.60 | 2.34 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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