Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova odds
Universitatea Craiova went into the match as heavy favourites against Inter Club d'Escaldes.
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Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova: closing odds analysis
- Universitatea Craiova were favourites: the closing odds implied a 62% chance of an away win, 15% for Inter Club d'Escaldes and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Inter Club d'Escaldes 6.66 at Betinia, the draw 4.50 at Bet25, Universitatea Craiova 1.61 at 888sport.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Inter Club d'Escaldes drifted from 5.60 at the opening to 6.66 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Inter Club d'Escaldes or Universitatea Craiova?
Universitatea Craiova, by a distance: the closing odds put 47.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Inter Club d'Escaldes, Bet25 on the draw and 888sport on Universitatea Craiova. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES | DRAW | UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 6.60 | 4.35 | 1.50 | 95.4% |
| Stake | 6.60 | 4.40 | 1.47 | 94.4% |
| Bet25 | 6.20 | 4.50 best price | 1.48 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.60 | 94.1% |
| Casinomoto | 6.66 best price | 4.20 | 1.48 | 94.0% |
| Betoro | 6.66 best price | 4.20 | 1.48 | 94.0% |
| VBET | 6.20 | 4.33 | 1.46 | 92.8% |
| ComeOn | 6.34 | 4.26 | 1.46 | 92.8% |
| Betinia | 6.66 best price | 4.00 | 1.47 | 92.6% |
| CampoBet | 6.66 best price | 4.00 | 1.47 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.61 best price | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.61 best price | 92.2% |
| bwin | 6.25 | 4.10 | 1.46 | 91.8% |
| GetLucky | 6.28 | 4.22 | 1.44 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 6.28 | 4.22 | 1.44 | 91.7% |
| Betmaster | 5.80 | 4.00 | 1.46 | 90.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.66 | 4.50 | 1.61 | 100.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.00–6.66 · 33.2% | 3.80–4.50 · 18.4% | 1.44–1.61 · 11.8% | 90.3–95.4% |
How did the Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Inter Club d'Escaldes drifted from 5.60 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 6.66 at kick-off, a 18.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES | DRAW | UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 5.60 | 3.90 | 1.72 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 5.20 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 6.66 | 4.50 | 1.61 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 47.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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