Iberia 1999 – Mjallby odds
Mjallby went into the match as narrow favourites against Iberia 1999.
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Iberia 1999 – Mjallby: closing odds analysis
- Mjallby were favourites: the closing odds implied a 38% chance of an away win, 32% for Iberia 1999 and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Iberia 1999 3.10 at Casino House, the draw 3.35 at Bet25, Mjallby 2.59 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Mjallby drifted from 2.15 at the opening to 2.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Iberia 1999 or Mjallby?
Mjallby, but only just: the closing odds put 5.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Iberia 1999 – Mjallby?
It depended on the outcome: Casino House was best on Iberia 1999, Bet25 on the draw and VBET on Mjallby. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | IBERIA 1999 | DRAW | MJALLBY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 95.4% |
| Stake | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 3.10 best price | 3.25 | 2.30 | 93.9% |
| Casinomoto | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 93.8% |
| Betoro | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 93.8% |
| SpreadEx | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 93.7% |
| Bet25 | 2.75 | 3.35 best price | 2.44 | 93.3% |
| ComeOn | 2.82 | 3.17 | 2.44 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 2.64 | 3.17 | 2.59 best price | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.42 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.42 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 92.1% |
| GetLucky | 2.80 | 3.14 | 2.41 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 2.80 | 3.14 | 2.41 | 91.7% |
| bwin | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 90.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.36 | 90.8% |
| Betmaster | 2.75 | 3.05 | 2.40 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.10 | 3.35 | 2.59 | 99.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.64–3.10 · 17.4% | 3.00–3.35 · 11.7% | 2.30–2.59 · 12.6% | 90.2–95.4% |
How did the Iberia 1999 – Mjallby odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Mjallby drifted from 2.15 when odds opened on 18 Oct to 2.50 at kick-off, a 16.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | IBERIA 1999 | DRAW | MJALLBY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 18 Oct (open) | 3.50 | 3.55 | 2.15 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 3.20 | 3.45 | 2.25 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 3.10 | 3.35 | 2.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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