Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen odds
Crvena Zvezda went into the match as clear favourites against FC Copenhagen.
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Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen: closing odds analysis
- Crvena Zvezda were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of a home win, 30% for FC Copenhagen and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Crvena Zvezda 2.25 at Casino House, the draw 3.65 at VBET, FC Copenhagen 3.27 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on FC Copenhagen drifted from 2.75 at the opening to 3.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Crvena Zvezda or FC Copenhagen?
Crvena Zvezda, clearly: the closing odds put 13.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen?
It depended on the outcome: Casino House was best on Crvena Zvezda, VBET on the draw and VBET on FC Copenhagen. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | CRVENA ZVEZDA | DRAW | FC COPENHAGEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.17 | 3.65 best price | 3.27 best price | 96.1% |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.55 | 3.20 | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 2.25 best price | 3.50 | 3.00 | 94.0% |
| Casinomoto | 2.14 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 93.9% |
| Betoro | 2.14 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 93.9% |
| ComeOn | 2.13 | 3.47 | 3.12 | 92.7% |
| Betinia | 2.14 | 3.40 | 3.14 | 92.6% |
| CampoBet | 2.14 | 3.40 | 3.14 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 2.11 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 92.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.11 | 3.44 | 3.09 | 91.9% |
| Casinostuen | 2.11 | 3.44 | 3.09 | 91.9% |
| 888sport | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 91.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 91.5% |
| bwin | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 90.8% |
| Betmaster | 2.11 | 3.30 | 3.05 | 90.5% |
| Stake | — | 3.55 | 3.10 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.25 | 3.65 | 3.27 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.11–2.25 · 6.6% | 3.30–3.65 · 10.6% | 3.00–3.27 · 9.0% | 90.5–96.1% |
How did the Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen odds move before kick-off?
The best price on FC Copenhagen drifted from 2.75 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 3.20 at kick-off, a 16.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CRVENA ZVEZDA | DRAW | FC COPENHAGEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 2.40 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 57.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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