Celtic – Celta Vigo odds
Celtic and Celta Vigo went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Celtic – Celta Vigo: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 38% for Celtic, 27% for a draw and 35% for Celta Vigo.
- Best closing odds: Celtic 2.55 at Stake, the draw 3.65 at Betano, Celta Vigo 2.75 at Oddset.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Celta Vigo drifted from 2.35 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celtic or Celta Vigo?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 3.2 percentage points between Celtic and Celta Vigo.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celtic – Celta Vigo?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Celtic, Betano on the draw and Oddset on Celta Vigo. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELTIC | DRAW | CELTA VIGO | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 2.46 | 3.60 | 2.75 best price | 95.4% |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.65 best price | 2.72 | 95.3% |
| bwin | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.65 | 94.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.44 | 3.57 | 2.72 | 94.6% |
| Stake | 2.55 best price | 3.55 | 2.60 | 94.5% |
| Betoro | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.66 | 94.2% |
| Casino House | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.66 | 94.2% |
| SpreadEx | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 93.9% |
| Betinia | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.71 | 93.6% |
| CampoBet | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.71 | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.41 | 3.53 | 2.70 | 93.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.41 | 3.53 | 2.70 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 93.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 93.2% |
| VBET | 2.53 | 3.41 | 2.55 | 92.5% |
| Betmaster | 2.36 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.55 | 3.65 | 2.75 | 97.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.36–2.55 · 8.1% | 3.30–3.65 · 10.6% | 2.55–2.75 · 7.8% | 90.0–95.4% |
How did the Celtic – Celta Vigo odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Celta Vigo drifted from 2.35 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 2.80 at kick-off, a 19.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELTIC | DRAW | CELTA VIGO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.35 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 2.67 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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