Besiktas – Crystal Palace odds
Crystal Palace went into the match as narrow favourites against Besiktas.
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Besiktas – Crystal Palace: closing odds analysis
- Crystal Palace were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 34% for Besiktas and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Besiktas 2.95 at Stake, the draw 3.67 at VBET, Crystal Palace 2.50 at Casinostuen.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Crystal Palace shortened from 3.00 at the opening to 2.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Besiktas or Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace, but only just: the closing odds put 5.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Besiktas – Crystal Palace?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Besiktas, VBET on the draw and Casinostuen on Crystal Palace. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | BESIKTAS | DRAW | CRYSTAL PALACE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.42 | 95.4% |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.47 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.95 best price | 3.65 | 2.25 | 94.6% |
| ComeOn | 2.77 | 3.57 | 2.39 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.33 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.33 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.50 best price | 93.8% |
| bwin | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 93.7% |
| Betinia | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.33 | 93.6% |
| CampoBet | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.33 | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.75 | 3.53 | 2.36 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 2.60 | 3.48 | 2.50 best price | 93.3% |
| Expekt | 2.70 | 3.55 | 2.38 | 93.3% |
| VBET | 2.86 | 3.67 best price | 2.18 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 2.50 | 3.55 | 2.39 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.43 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.95 | 3.67 | 2.50 | 98.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.50–2.95 · 18.0% | 3.25–3.67 · 12.9% | 2.18–2.50 · 14.7% | 90.0–95.4% |
How did the Besiktas – Crystal Palace odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Crystal Palace shortened from 3.00 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 2.50 at kick-off, a 16.7% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BESIKTAS | DRAW | CRYSTAL PALACE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 2.80 | 3.85 | 3.00 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 2.80 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Thu 22 Oct (kick-off) | 2.90 | 3.65 | 2.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 63.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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