Sporting CP – LASK odds
Sporting CP went into the match as heavy favourites against LASK.
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Sporting CP – LASK: closing odds analysis
- Sporting CP were favourites: the closing odds implied a 71% chance of a home win, 12% for LASK and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sporting CP 1.37 at Stake, the draw 6.00 at Stake, LASK 8.50 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 7.90 at the opening to 6.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sporting CP or LASK?
Sporting CP, by a distance: the closing odds put 59.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sporting CP – LASK?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Sporting CP, Stake on the draw and Betinia on LASK. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and Bet25 the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | SPORTING CP | DRAW | LASK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.37 best price | 5.80 | 8.25 | 97.7% |
| VBET | 1.36 | 5.70 | 7.70 | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 1.32 | 5.75 | 8.50 best price | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 1.32 | 5.75 | 8.50 best price | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 1.32 | 5.75 | 8.50 best price | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 1.32 | 5.75 | 8.50 best price | 95.3% |
| ComeOn | 1.32 | 5.94 | 7.63 | 94.6% |
| Expekt | 1.32 | 6.00 best price | 7.50 | 94.6% |
| SpreadEx | 1.30 | 5.80 | 8.50 best price | 94.4% |
| bwin | 1.36 | 5.75 | 6.50 | 94.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.31 | 5.89 | 7.56 | 93.9% |
| Casinostuen | 1.31 | 5.89 | 7.56 | 93.9% |
| 888sport | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 93.7% |
| Mr Green | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 93.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.29 | 6.00 best price | 6.40 | 91.1% |
| Stake | 1.37 best price | 6.00 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.37 | 6.00 | 8.50 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.29–1.37 · 6.2% | 5.50–6.00 · 9.1% | 6.40–8.50 · 32.8% | 91.1–97.7% |
How did the Sporting CP – LASK odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 7.90 when odds opened on 15 Oct to 6.20 at kick-off, a 21.5% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SPORTING CP | DRAW | LASK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 15 Oct (open) | 1.31 | 7.90 | 9.25 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 1.25 | 7.90 | 11.75 |
| Wed 21 Oct (kick-off) | 1.37 | 6.20 | 8.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 61.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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