Levante – Athletic Club odds
Athletic Club went into the match as clear favourites against Levante.
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Levante – Athletic Club: closing odds analysis
- Athletic Club were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of an away win, 27% for Levante and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Levante 3.75 at CampoBet, the draw 3.40 at Betano, Athletic Club 2.33 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance of three or more goals and 54% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Levante or Athletic Club?
Athletic Club, clearly: the closing odds put 16.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levante – Athletic Club?
It depended on the outcome: CampoBet was best on Levante, Betano on the draw and VBET on Athletic Club. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.4%) and Bet25 the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVANTE | DRAW | ATHLETIC CLUB | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.40 best price | 2.18 | 97.4% |
| Stake | 3.40 | 3.35 | 2.25 | 96.4% |
| VBET | 3.29 | 3.25 | 2.33 best price | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 3.60 | 3.33 | 2.12 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 3.60 | 3.33 | 2.12 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 3.60 | 3.33 | 2.12 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 3.55 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 3.75 best price | 3.10 | 2.16 | 95.0% |
| ComeOn | 3.52 | 3.27 | 2.13 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 94.2% |
| Casino House | 3.75 best price | 3.00 | 2.16 | 94.1% |
| GetLucky | 3.48 | 3.24 | 2.11 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 3.48 | 3.24 | 2.11 | 93.5% |
| Betmaster | 3.45 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.10 | 92.8% |
| Bet25 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.04 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.75 | 3.40 | 2.33 | 101.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.20–3.75 · 17.2% | 3.00–3.40 · 13.3% | 2.04–2.33 · 14.2% | 90.1–97.4% |
How did the Levante – Athletic Club odds move before kick-off?
The best prices barely moved between the opening on 14 Oct and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 1.8%.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LEVANTE | DRAW | ATHLETIC CLUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct (open) | 3.77 | 3.40 | 2.22 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 3.77 | 3.40 | 2.22 |
| Wed 21 Oct (kick-off) | 3.75 | 3.40 | 2.18 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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