Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk odds
Inter went into the match as heavy favourites against Shakhtar Donetsk.
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Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk: closing odds analysis
- Inter were favourites: the closing odds implied a 76% chance of a home win, 10% for Shakhtar Donetsk and 15% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Inter 1.29 at bwin, the draw 7.40 at Bet25, Shakhtar Donetsk 11.00 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 10.00 at the opening to 7.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Inter or Shakhtar Donetsk?
Inter, by a distance: the closing odds put 65.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Inter, Bet25 on the draw and VBET on Shakhtar Donetsk. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.5%) and Bet25 the least (92.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | INTER | DRAW | SHAKHTAR DONETSK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.28 | 6.50 | 11.00 best price | 97.5% |
| VBET | 1.26 | 6.60 | 11.00 best price | 96.5% |
| Stake | 1.29 best price | 6.60 | 8.80 | 96.1% |
| ComeOn | 1.25 | 6.74 | 10.15 | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 1.26 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.26 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.26 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.26 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 95.0% |
| Expekt | 1.24 | 6.75 | 10.00 | 94.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.24 | 6.67 | 10.06 | 94.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.24 | 6.67 | 10.06 | 94.7% |
| bwin | 1.29 best price | 6.25 | 8.00 | 94.3% |
| Betmaster | 1.25 | 6.20 | 9.20 | 93.5% |
| SpreadEx | 1.22 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 92.1% |
| Bet25 | 1.19 | 7.40 best price | 9.00 | 92.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.29 | 7.40 | 11.00 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.19–1.29 · 8.4% | 6.00–7.40 · 23.3% | 8.00–11.00 · 37.5% | 92.0–97.5% |
How did the Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 10.00 when odds opened on 15 Oct to 7.40 at kick-off, a 26.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | INTER | DRAW | SHAKHTAR DONETSK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 15 Oct (open) | 1.25 | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 1.23 | 10.00 | 13.50 |
| Wed 21 Oct (kick-off) | 1.28 | 7.40 | 11.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 58.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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