Como – Man Utd odds
Como went into the match as narrow favourites against Man Utd.
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Como – Man Utd: closing odds analysis
- Como were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 35% for Man Utd and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Como 2.45 at Expekt, the draw 3.85 at Betano, Man Utd 2.88 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Como drifted from 2.30 at the opening to 2.47 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Como or Man Utd?
Como, but only just: the closing odds put 5.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Como – Man Utd?
It depended on the outcome: Expekt was best on Como, Betano on the draw and VBET on Man Utd. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and Bet25 the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | COMO | DRAW | MAN UTD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.45 best price | 3.85 best price | 2.80 | 97.6% |
| VBET | 2.43 | 3.75 | 2.88 best price | 97.5% |
| Stake | 2.35 | 3.80 | 2.85 | 96.2% |
| Expekt | 2.45 best price | 3.75 | 2.70 | 95.7% |
| Oddset | 2.44 | 3.75 | 2.70 | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 2.36 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 2.36 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 2.36 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 2.36 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 2.36 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.43 | 3.76 | 2.67 | 95.1% |
| Betmaster | 2.42 | 3.55 | 2.75 | 94.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.40 | 3.73 | 2.65 | 94.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.40 | 3.73 | 2.65 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.75 | 93.9% |
| 888sport | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 2.25 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.45 | 3.85 | 2.88 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.25–2.45 · 8.9% | 3.55–3.85 · 8.5% | 2.50–2.88 · 15.2% | 90.0–97.6% |
How did the Como – Man Utd odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Como drifted from 2.30 when odds opened on 15 Oct to 2.47 at kick-off, a 7.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | COMO | DRAW | MAN UTD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 15 Oct (open) | 2.30 | 3.85 | 3.00 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 2.35 | 3.90 | 2.95 |
| Wed 21 Oct (kick-off) | 2.47 | 3.85 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 63.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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