Club Brugge – Lens odds
Club Brugge went into the match as heavy favourites against Lens.
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Club Brugge – Lens: closing odds analysis
- Club Brugge were favourites: the closing odds implied a 53% chance of a home win, 25% for Lens and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Club Brugge 1.87 at Betmaster, the draw 4.50 at Betinia, Lens 4.60 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lens drifted from 3.35 at the opening to 4.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance of three or more goals and 66% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Club Brugge or Lens?
Club Brugge, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Club Brugge – Lens?
It depended on the outcome: Betmaster was best on Club Brugge, Betinia on the draw and VBET on Lens. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (97.4%) and Bet25 the least (89.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | CLUB BRUGGE | DRAW | LENS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.73 | 4.33 | 4.60 best price | 97.4% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 4.35 | 3.90 | 97.4% |
| Stake | 1.71 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 96.2% |
| Oddset | 1.84 | 4.25 | 3.75 | 95.7% |
| Expekt | 1.83 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 1.80 | 4.50 best price | 3.66 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.80 | 4.50 best price | 3.66 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.81 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.81 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| Casino House | 1.81 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 94.9% |
| bwin | 1.72 | 4.33 | 4.10 | 94.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.82 | 4.16 | 3.71 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 94.2% |
| GetLucky | 1.81 | 4.12 | 3.68 | 93.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.81 | 4.12 | 3.68 | 93.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.87 best price | 3.85 | 3.60 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 93.0% |
| Mr Green | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 93.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.72 | 4.20 | 3.35 | 89.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.87 | 4.50 | 4.60 | 102.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.71–1.87 · 9.4% | 3.85–4.50 · 16.9% | 3.35–4.60 · 37.3% | 89.4–97.4% |
How did the Club Brugge – Lens odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lens drifted from 3.35 when odds opened on 15 Oct to 4.10 at kick-off, a 22.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CLUB BRUGGE | DRAW | LENS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 15 Oct (open) | 2.18 | 3.80 | 3.35 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 2.13 | 4.05 | 3.30 |
| Wed 21 Oct (kick-off) | 1.87 | 4.50 | 4.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 65.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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