Aston Villa – Viking odds
Aston Villa went into the match as heavy favourites against Viking.
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Aston Villa – Viking: closing odds analysis
- Aston Villa were favourites: the closing odds implied a 77% chance of a home win, 9% for Viking and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Aston Villa 1.29 at Betano, the draw 8.40 at Stake, Viking 13.00 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 10.00 at the opening to 7.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Aston Villa or Viking?
Aston Villa, by a distance: the closing odds put 67.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Aston Villa – Viking?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Aston Villa, Stake on the draw and Stake on Viking. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.5%) and Bet25 the least (91.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | ASTON VILLA | DRAW | VIKING | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.29 best price | 6.90 | 9.50 | 97.5% |
| Stake | 1.19 | 8.40 best price | 13.00 best price | 96.5% |
| VBET | 1.24 | 7.30 | 10.00 | 95.8% |
| Oddset | 1.23 | 7.25 | 10.50 | 95.6% |
| ComeOn | 1.24 | 7.13 | 9.90 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 1.25 | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.25 | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.25 | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.25 | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.25 | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| Expekt | 1.23 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 94.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.23 | 7.06 | 9.81 | 94.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.23 | 7.06 | 9.81 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.20 | 7.50 | 11.00 | 94.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.27 | 6.20 | 8.40 | 93.7% |
| SpreadEx | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 | 93.4% |
| 888sport | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| Bet25 | 1.22 | 7.00 | 7.80 | 91.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.29 | 8.40 | 13.00 | 103.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.19–1.29 · 8.4% | 6.00–8.40 · 40.0% | 7.80–13.00 · 66.7% | 91.7–97.5% |
How did the Aston Villa – Viking odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 10.00 when odds opened on 15 Oct to 7.40 at kick-off, a 26.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ASTON VILLA | DRAW | VIKING |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 15 Oct (open) | 1.23 | 10.00 | 12.50 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 1.27 | 10.00 | 11.25 |
| Wed 21 Oct (kick-off) | 1.29 | 7.40 | 12.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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