Yeovil Town – Leatherhead odds
Yeovil Town went into the match as heavy favourites against Leatherhead.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Yeovil Town – Leatherhead: closing odds analysis
- Yeovil Town were favourites: the closing odds implied a 64% chance of a home win, 18% for Leatherhead and 18% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Yeovil Town 1.46 at bwin, the draw 5.30 at VBET, Leatherhead 5.20 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Leatherhead shortened from 6.25 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Yeovil Town or Leatherhead?
Yeovil Town, by a distance: the closing odds put 45.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Yeovil Town – Leatherhead?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Yeovil Town, VBET on the draw and VBET on Leatherhead. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (92.2%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | YEOVIL TOWN | DRAW | LEATHERHEAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.46 best price | 5.00 | 5.00 | 92.2% |
| Stake | 1.44 | 4.90 | 5.00 | 91.0% |
| VBET | 1.39 | 5.30 best price | 5.20 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.46 | 5.30 | 5.20 | 93.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.39–1.46 · 5.0% | 4.90–5.30 · 8.2% | 5.00–5.20 · 4.0% | 90.9–92.2% |
How did the Yeovil Town – Leatherhead odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Leatherhead shortened from 6.25 when odds opened on 20 Oct to 5.20 at kick-off, a 16.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | YEOVIL TOWN | DRAW | LEATHERHEAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 Oct (open) | 1.41 | 5.00 | 6.25 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 1.46 | 5.30 | 5.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 58.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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