Worcester City – Chorley odds
Worcester City and Chorley went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Worcester City – Chorley: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Worcester City, 26% for a draw and 37% for Chorley.
- Best closing odds: Worcester City 2.50 at bwin, the draw 3.50 at bwin, Chorley 2.49 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Worcester City shortened from 2.70 at the opening to 2.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Worcester City or Chorley?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.4 percentage points between Worcester City and Chorley.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Worcester City – Chorley?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Worcester City, bwin on the draw and VBET on Chorley. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (91.4%) and Stake the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | WORCESTER CITY | DRAW | CHORLEY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.50 best price | 3.50 best price | 2.45 | 91.4% |
| VBET | 2.44 | 3.47 | 2.49 best price | 90.9% |
| Stake | 2.49 | 3.50 best price | 2.42 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.49 | 92.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.44–2.50 · 2.5% | 3.47–3.50 · 0.9% | 2.42–2.49 · 2.9% | 90.9–91.4% |
How did the Worcester City – Chorley odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Worcester City shortened from 2.70 when odds opened on 20 Oct to 2.50 at kick-off, a 7.4% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WORCESTER CITY | DRAW | CHORLEY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 Oct (open) | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.51 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.49 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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