Tadley Calleva – Aldershot Town odds
Aldershot Town went into the match as heavy favourites against Tadley Calleva.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Tadley Calleva – Aldershot Town: closing odds analysis
- Aldershot Town were favourites: the closing odds implied a 63% chance of an away win, 18% for Tadley Calleva and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Tadley Calleva 5.50 at bwin, the draw 5.20 at VBET, Aldershot Town 1.49 at Stake.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Tadley Calleva drifted from 4.80 at the opening to 5.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Tadley Calleva or Aldershot Town?
Aldershot Town, by a distance: the closing odds put 45.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Tadley Calleva – Aldershot Town?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Tadley Calleva, VBET on the draw and Stake on Aldershot Town. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (91.1%) and Stake the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | TADLEY CALLEVA | DRAW | ALDERSHOT TOWN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 5.10 | 5.20 best price | 1.41 | 91.1% |
| bwin | 5.50 best price | 4.75 | 1.41 | 90.8% |
| Stake | 4.90 | 4.40 | 1.49 best price | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 5.50 | 5.20 | 1.49 | 95.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.90–5.50 · 12.2% | 4.40–5.20 · 18.2% | 1.41–1.49 · 5.7% | 90.7–91.1% |
How did the Tadley Calleva – Aldershot Town odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Tadley Calleva drifted from 4.80 when odds opened on 20 Oct to 5.50 at kick-off, a 14.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TADLEY CALLEVA | DRAW | ALDERSHOT TOWN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 Oct (open) | 4.80 | 4.80 | 1.57 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 5.50 | 5.20 | 1.49 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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