Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid odds
Atlético Madrid went into the match as clear favourites against Stuttgart.
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Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid: closing odds analysis
- Atlético Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of an away win, 30% for Stuttgart and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Stuttgart 3.50 at Betano, the draw 4.00 at Betano, Atlético Madrid 2.22 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Stuttgart drifted from 3.05 at the opening to 3.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 66% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Stuttgart or Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid, clearly: the closing odds put 15.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Stuttgart, Betano on the draw and VBET on Atlético Madrid. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and Bet25 the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | STUTTGART | DRAW | ATLÉTICO MADRID | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.50 best price | 4.00 best price | 2.05 | 97.7% |
| VBET | 3.10 | 3.98 | 2.22 best price | 97.6% |
| Stake | 3.10 | 3.95 | 2.16 | 96.3% |
| Oddset | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 95.5% |
| ComeOn | 3.27 | 3.86 | 2.06 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 2.95 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 94.6% |
| GetLucky | 3.24 | 3.83 | 2.04 | 94.3% |
| Casinostuen | 3.24 | 3.83 | 2.04 | 94.3% |
| 888sport | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 3.00 | 3.90 | 1.92 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.22 | 101.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.95–3.50 · 18.6% | 3.60–4.00 · 11.1% | 1.92–2.22 · 15.6% | 90.0–97.7% |
How did the Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Stuttgart drifted from 3.05 when odds opened on 15 Oct to 3.50 at kick-off, a 14.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | STUTTGART | DRAW | ATLÉTICO MADRID |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 15 Oct (open) | 3.05 | 3.85 | 2.30 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.15 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.22 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 65.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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