Stafford Rangers – Gateshead odds
Stafford Rangers and Gateshead went into the match almost level in the odds.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Stafford Rangers – Gateshead: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 39% for Stafford Rangers, 25% for a draw and 35% for Gateshead.
- Best closing odds: Stafford Rangers 2.42 at VBET, the draw 3.71 at VBET, Gateshead 2.70 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Gateshead shortened from 2.87 at the opening to 2.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Stafford Rangers or Gateshead?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 4.0 percentage points between Stafford Rangers and Gateshead.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Stafford Rangers – Gateshead?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Stafford Rangers, VBET on the draw and bwin on Gateshead. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (91.7%) and Stake the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | STAFFORD RANGERS | DRAW | GATESHEAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 best price | 91.7% |
| VBET | 2.42 best price | 3.71 best price | 2.40 | 91.0% |
| Stake | 2.24 | 3.60 | 2.65 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.42 | 3.71 | 2.70 | 95.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.24–2.42 · 8.0% | 3.50–3.71 · 6.0% | 2.40–2.70 · 12.5% | 90.8–91.7% |
How did the Stafford Rangers – Gateshead odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Gateshead shortened from 2.87 when odds opened on 20 Oct to 2.70 at kick-off, a 5.9% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | STAFFORD RANGERS | DRAW | GATESHEAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 Oct (open) | 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.87 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 2.42 | 3.71 | 2.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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