Gloucester City – Barrow odds
Barrow went into the match as clear favourites against Gloucester City.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Gloucester City – Barrow: closing odds analysis
- Barrow were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of an away win, 26% for Gloucester City and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Gloucester City 3.60 at bwin, the draw 3.95 at Stake, Barrow 1.81 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Gloucester City shortened from 3.80 at the opening to 3.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Gloucester City or Barrow?
Barrow, clearly: the closing odds put 24.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Gloucester City – Barrow?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Gloucester City, Stake on the draw and VBET on Barrow. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (91.2%) and Stake the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | GLOUCESTER CITY | DRAW | BARROW | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.60 best price | 3.80 | 1.80 | 91.2% |
| VBET | 3.45 | 3.89 | 1.81 best price | 91.0% |
| Stake | 3.50 | 3.95 best price | 1.78 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.60 | 3.95 | 1.81 | 92.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.45–3.60 · 4.3% | 3.80–3.95 · 3.9% | 1.78–1.81 · 1.7% | 90.9–91.2% |
How did the Gloucester City – Barrow odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Gloucester City shortened from 3.80 when odds opened on 20 Oct to 3.60 at kick-off, a 5.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | GLOUCESTER CITY | DRAW | BARROW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 Oct (open) | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 3.60 | 3.95 | 1.81 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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