FC United of Manchester – Altrincham odds
Altrincham went into the match as clear favourites against FC United of Manchester.
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FC United of Manchester – Altrincham: closing odds analysis
- Altrincham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of an away win, 29% for FC United of Manchester and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: FC United of Manchester 3.20 at bwin, the draw 3.98 at VBET, Altrincham 1.98 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on FC United of Manchester shortened from 3.40 at the opening to 3.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, FC United of Manchester or Altrincham?
Altrincham, clearly: the closing odds put 17.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on FC United of Manchester – Altrincham?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on FC United of Manchester, VBET on the draw and bwin on Altrincham. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (91.3%) and Stake the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER | DRAW | ALTRINCHAM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.20 best price | 3.60 | 1.98 best price | 91.3% |
| VBET | 2.97 | 3.98 best price | 1.95 | 90.8% |
| Stake | 3.15 | 3.70 | 1.94 | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.20 | 3.98 | 1.98 | 93.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.97–3.20 · 7.7% | 3.60–3.98 · 10.6% | 1.94–1.98 · 2.1% | 90.6–91.3% |
How did the FC United of Manchester – Altrincham odds move before kick-off?
The best price on FC United of Manchester shortened from 3.40 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 3.20 at kick-off, a 5.9% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER | DRAW | ALTRINCHAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 3.40 | 3.90 | 2.03 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 3.20 | 3.91 | 2.00 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 3.20 | 3.98 | 1.98 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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