Alvechurch – Spalding United odds
Spalding United went into the match as narrow favourites against Alvechurch.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Alvechurch – Spalding United: closing odds analysis
- Spalding United were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of an away win, 33% for Alvechurch and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Alvechurch 2.85 at Stake, the draw 3.60 at bwin, Spalding United 2.21 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 91.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Alvechurch shortened from 2.95 at the opening to 2.85 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Alvechurch or Spalding United?
Spalding United, but only just: the closing odds put 8.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Alvechurch – Spalding United?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Alvechurch, bwin on the draw and VBET on Spalding United. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (91.2%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | ALVECHURCH | DRAW | SPALDING UNITED | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.75 | 3.60 best price | 2.20 | 91.2% |
| Stake | 2.85 best price | 3.55 | 2.15 | 91.1% |
| VBET | 2.75 | 3.52 | 2.21 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.21 | 92.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.75–2.85 · 3.6% | 3.52–3.60 · 2.3% | 2.15–2.21 · 2.8% | 90.9–91.2% |
How did the Alvechurch – Spalding United odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Alvechurch shortened from 2.95 when odds opened on 20 Oct to 2.85 at kick-off, a 3.4% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ALVECHURCH | DRAW | SPALDING UNITED |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 Oct (open) | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Tue 20 Oct (kick-off) | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.21 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 56.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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