SønderjyskE – Silkeborg IF odds
SønderjyskE went into the match as narrow favourites against Silkeborg IF.
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SønderjyskE – Silkeborg IF: closing odds analysis
- SønderjyskE were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 35% for Silkeborg IF and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: SønderjyskE 2.62 at Casinomoto, the draw 3.80 at VBET, Silkeborg IF 3.04 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Silkeborg IF drifted from 2.65 at the opening to 3.04 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, SønderjyskE or Silkeborg IF?
SønderjyskE, but only just: the closing odds put 4.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on SønderjyskE – Silkeborg IF?
It depended on the outcome: Casinomoto was best on SønderjyskE, VBET on the draw and VBET on Silkeborg IF. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (98.1%) and Bet25 the least (86.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | SØNDERJYSKE | DRAW | SILKEBORG IF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.34 | 3.80 best price | 3.04 best price | 98.1% |
| ComeOn | 2.47 | 3.67 | 2.85 | 97.3% |
| Casinomoto | 2.62 best price | 3.60 | 2.62 | 96.0% |
| Oddset | 2.40 | 3.65 | 2.80 | 95.4% |
| Expekt | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.66 | 95.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.39 | 3.58 | 2.75 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 93.9% |
| Betoro | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.57 | 93.7% |
| Casinostuen | 2.37 | 3.53 | 2.75 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 93.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 93.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 92.8% |
| Betinia | 2.54 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 2.54 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 92.5% |
| Betmaster | 2.32 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 90.0% |
| Bet25 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.47 | 86.7% |
| Stake | — | 3.50 | 2.90 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.62 | 3.80 | 3.04 | 102.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.20–2.62 · 19.1% | 3.30–3.80 · 15.2% | 2.47–3.04 · 23.1% | 86.7–98.1% |
How did the SønderjyskE – Silkeborg IF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Silkeborg IF drifted from 2.65 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 3.04 at kick-off, a 14.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SØNDERJYSKE | DRAW | SILKEBORG IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 2.53 | 3.70 | 2.65 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.66 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 2.62 | 3.80 | 3.04 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 61.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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