Real Madrid – Sevilla odds
Real Madrid went into the match as heavy favourites against Sevilla.
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Real Madrid – Sevilla: closing odds analysis
- Real Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 77% chance of a home win, 9% for Sevilla and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Real Madrid 1.27 at Betano, the draw 7.40 at Stake, Sevilla 12.00 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sevilla drifted from 11.00 at the opening to 12.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Real Madrid or Sevilla?
Real Madrid, by a distance: the closing odds put 67.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Real Madrid – Sevilla?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Real Madrid, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Sevilla. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.3%) and Bet25 the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | REAL MADRID | DRAW | SEVILLA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.27 best price | 6.50 | 11.50 | 97.3% |
| Stake | 1.23 | 7.40 best price | 11.00 | 96.2% |
| VBET | 1.25 | 6.70 | 11.00 | 96.1% |
| ComeOn | 1.25 | 6.64 | 10.40 | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 1.23 | 6.50 | 12.00 best price | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.23 | 6.50 | 12.00 best price | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.23 | 6.50 | 12.00 best price | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.23 | 6.50 | 12.00 best price | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.23 | 6.50 | 12.00 best price | 95.2% |
| bwin | 1.25 | 7.00 | 9.25 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 94.9% |
| GetLucky | 1.24 | 6.57 | 10.30 | 94.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.24 | 6.57 | 10.30 | 94.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.22 | 6.60 | 11.00 | 94.2% |
| SpreadEx | 1.22 | 6.50 | 10.00 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 92.1% |
| Bet25 | 1.22 | 6.40 | 8.20 | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.27 | 7.40 | 12.00 | 99.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.22–1.27 · 4.1% | 6.00–7.40 · 23.3% | 8.20–12.00 · 46.3% | 91.1–97.3% |
How did the Real Madrid – Sevilla odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sevilla drifted from 11.00 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 12.00 at kick-off, a 9.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | REAL MADRID | DRAW | SEVILLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 1.27 | 8.60 | 11.00 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 1.27 | 8.60 | 11.25 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 1.27 | 8.90 | 12.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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