Osasuna – Racing Santander odds
Osasuna went into the match as clear favourites against Racing Santander.
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Osasuna – Racing Santander: closing odds analysis
- Osasuna were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of a home win, 26% for Racing Santander and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Osasuna 2.05 at Betano, the draw 3.85 at Stake, Racing Santander 3.75 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Racing Santander shortened from 4.40 at the opening to 3.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Osasuna or Racing Santander?
Osasuna, clearly: the closing odds put 22.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Osasuna – Racing Santander?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Osasuna, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Racing Santander. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and Bet25 the least (89.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | OSASUNA | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.05 best price | 3.75 | 3.70 | 97.6% |
| Stake | 1.97 | 3.85 best price | 3.65 | 96.0% |
| Betinia | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.75 best price | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.75 best price | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.75 best price | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.75 best price | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.75 best price | 95.3% |
| VBET | 1.97 | 3.68 | 3.68 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 95.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.96 | 3.71 | 3.57 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 94.0% |
| GetLucky | 1.94 | 3.68 | 3.53 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 1.94 | 3.68 | 3.53 | 93.4% |
| Betmaster | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.55 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 92.2% |
| Bet25 | 1.86 | 3.65 | 3.25 | 89.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.05 | 3.85 | 3.75 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.86–2.05 · 10.2% | 3.50–3.85 · 10.0% | 3.25–3.75 · 15.4% | 89.3–97.6% |
How did the Osasuna – Racing Santander odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Racing Santander shortened from 4.40 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 3.75 at kick-off, a 14.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | OSASUNA | DRAW | RACING SANTANDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 1.91 | 3.96 | 4.40 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 2.10 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 2.05 | 3.85 | 3.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 58.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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