Nottingham Forest – Arsenal odds
Arsenal went into the match as heavy favourites against Nottingham Forest.
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Nottingham Forest – Arsenal: closing odds analysis
- Arsenal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of an away win, 17% for Nottingham Forest and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Nottingham Forest 7.30 at VBET, the draw 4.50 at Stake, Arsenal 1.67 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 4.00 at the opening to 5.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 46% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Nottingham Forest or Arsenal?
Arsenal, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Nottingham Forest – Arsenal?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Nottingham Forest, Stake on the draw and Betano on Arsenal. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.3%) and Mr Green the least (93.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | NOTTINGHAM FOREST | DRAW | ARSENAL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 5.80 | 3.90 | 1.67 best price | 97.3% |
| Stake | 6.60 | 4.50 best price | 1.50 | 96.1% |
| VBET | 7.30 best price | 4.20 | 1.50 | 96.0% |
| ComeOn | 5.55 | 4.06 | 1.62 | 95.8% |
| SpreadEx | 6.00 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 95.4% |
| Oddset | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 5.33 | 4.00 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 5.33 | 4.00 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 5.33 | 4.00 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 5.33 | 4.00 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 5.33 | 4.00 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| GetLucky | 5.49 | 4.02 | 1.61 | 95.1% |
| Casinostuen | 5.49 | 4.02 | 1.61 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 6.25 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 94.6% |
| Betmaster | 5.40 | 3.80 | 1.64 | 94.5% |
| Bet25 | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.57 | 94.3% |
| 888sport | 5.50 | 3.70 | 1.61 | 93.2% |
| Mr Green | 5.50 | 3.70 | 1.61 | 93.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 7.30 | 4.50 | 1.67 | 104.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.33–7.30 · 37.0% | 3.70–4.50 · 21.6% | 1.50–1.67 · 11.3% | 93.2–97.3% |
How did the Nottingham Forest – Arsenal odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 4.00 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 5.50 at kick-off, a 37.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | NOTTINGHAM FOREST | DRAW | ARSENAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 6.00 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 6.20 | 5.50 | 1.67 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 7.30 | 5.50 | 1.67 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 46.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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