Lyngby BK – FC Nordsjælland odds
FC Nordsjælland went into the match as heavy favourites against Lyngby BK.
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Lyngby BK – FC Nordsjælland: closing odds analysis
- FC Nordsjælland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 53% chance of an away win, 23% for Lyngby BK and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lyngby BK 4.30 at VBET, the draw 4.18 at ComeOn, FC Nordsjælland 1.87 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lyngby BK drifted from 3.50 at the opening to 4.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 63% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lyngby BK or FC Nordsjælland?
FC Nordsjælland, by a distance: the closing odds put 29.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lyngby BK – FC Nordsjælland?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Lyngby BK, ComeOn on the draw and VBET on FC Nordsjælland. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (98.2%) and Bet25 the least (86.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | FC NORDSJÆLLAND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 4.30 best price | 3.99 | 1.87 best price | 98.2% |
| ComeOn | 4.18 | 4.18 best price | 1.82 | 97.3% |
| Casinomoto | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.81 | 96.1% |
| Expekt | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.80 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.77 | 95.0% |
| GetLucky | 4.12 | 4.02 | 1.77 | 94.7% |
| Oddset | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.78 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.85 | 94.0% |
| Casinostuen | 4.02 | 4.02 | 1.76 | 93.8% |
| Betoro | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.76 | 93.6% |
| Stake | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.76 | 93.3% |
| SpreadEx | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 93.3% |
| Betinia | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 92.7% |
| CampoBet | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 92.2% |
| Betmaster | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.74 | 90.2% |
| Bet25 | 3.55 | 3.90 | 1.62 | 86.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.30 | 4.18 | 1.87 | 99.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.55–4.30 · 21.1% | 3.70–4.18 · 13.0% | 1.62–1.87 · 15.4% | 86.6–98.2% |
How did the Lyngby BK – FC Nordsjælland odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lyngby BK drifted from 3.50 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 4.30 at kick-off, a 22.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | FC NORDSJÆLLAND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 3.50 | 3.92 | 1.98 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.91 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 4.30 | 4.18 | 1.87 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 63.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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