Le Havre – Auxerre odds
Le Havre went into the match as narrow favourites against Auxerre.
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Le Havre – Auxerre: closing odds analysis
- Le Havre were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 31% for Auxerre and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Le Havre 2.35 at VBET, the draw 3.65 at Stake, Auxerre 3.14 at Betinia.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Auxerre drifted from 2.87 at the opening to 3.14 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Le Havre or Auxerre?
Le Havre, but only just: the closing odds put 10.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Le Havre – Auxerre?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Le Havre, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Auxerre. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.3%) and Bet25 the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | LE HAVRE | DRAW | AUXERRE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.29 | 3.65 best price | 3.05 | 96.3% |
| VBET | 2.35 best price | 3.45 | 3.00 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.14 best price | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.14 best price | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.14 best price | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.14 best price | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.14 best price | 95.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 94.0% |
| ComeOn | 2.27 | 3.37 | 2.97 | 93.1% |
| Betmaster | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 93.0% |
| GetLucky | 2.25 | 3.34 | 2.94 | 92.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.25 | 3.34 | 2.94 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 91.7% |
| Bet25 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.85 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.35 | 3.65 | 3.14 | 98.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.20–2.35 · 6.8% | 3.25–3.65 · 12.3% | 2.85–3.14 · 10.2% | 90.9–96.3% |
How did the Le Havre – Auxerre odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Auxerre drifted from 2.87 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 3.14 at kick-off, a 9.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LE HAVRE | DRAW | AUXERRE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 2.47 | 3.50 | 2.87 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 2.37 | 3.40 | 3.09 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 2.35 | 3.65 | 3.14 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 58.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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