FC Copenhagen – AGF odds
FC Copenhagen went into the match as heavy favourites against AGF.
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FC Copenhagen – AGF: closing odds analysis
- FC Copenhagen were favourites: the closing odds implied a 58% chance of a home win, 19% for AGF and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: FC Copenhagen 1.66 at ComeOn, the draw 4.40 at VBET, AGF 5.40 at VBET.
- ComeOn had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on FC Copenhagen drifted from 1.55 at the opening to 1.66 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 55% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, FC Copenhagen or AGF?
FC Copenhagen, by a distance: the closing odds put 39.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on FC Copenhagen – AGF?
It depended on the outcome: ComeOn was best on FC Copenhagen, VBET on the draw and VBET on AGF. Across all three outcomes ComeOn paid out the most (98.1%) and Bet25 the least (87.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | FC COPENHAGEN | DRAW | AGF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ComeOn | 1.66 best price | 4.38 | 5.30 | 98.1% |
| VBET | 1.64 | 4.40 best price | 5.40 best price | 97.8% |
| Casinomoto | 1.64 | 4.25 | 5.00 | 95.7% |
| Expekt | 1.60 | 4.30 | 5.20 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.33 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 1.61 | 4.25 | 5.00 | 94.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.60 | 4.22 | 5.10 | 94.5% |
| Casinostuen | 1.60 | 4.22 | 5.10 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 1.63 | 3.90 | 5.25 | 94.3% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 94.1% |
| Betoro | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 94.1% |
| 888sport | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 1.58 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 1.58 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 92.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.58 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 90.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.50 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 87.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.66 | 4.40 | 5.40 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.50–1.66 · 10.7% | 3.90–4.40 · 12.8% | 4.40–5.40 · 22.7% | 87.9–98.1% |
How did the FC Copenhagen – AGF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on FC Copenhagen drifted from 1.55 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 1.66 at kick-off, a 7.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FC COPENHAGEN | DRAW | AGF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 1.55 | 4.40 | 5.75 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 1.67 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 1.66 | 4.40 | 5.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 55.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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