Bournemouth – Sunderland odds
Bournemouth went into the match as clear favourites against Sunderland.
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Bournemouth – Sunderland: closing odds analysis
- Bournemouth were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of a home win, 25% for Sunderland and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Bournemouth 2.18 at Betmaster, the draw 3.45 at Bet25, Sunderland 4.10 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Sunderland drifted from 3.64 at the opening to 4.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance of three or more goals and 46% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Bournemouth or Sunderland?
Bournemouth, clearly: the closing odds put 22.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Bournemouth – Sunderland?
It depended on the outcome: Betmaster was best on Bournemouth, Bet25 on the draw and Stake on Sunderland. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.4%) and Mr Green the least (92.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | BOURNEMOUTH | DRAW | SUNDERLAND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 97.4% |
| Stake | 2.05 | 3.30 | 4.10 best price | 96.6% |
| ComeOn | 2.05 | 3.37 | 3.91 | 96.1% |
| VBET | 2.09 | 3.18 | 3.90 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 2.00 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 2.00 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 2.00 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 2.00 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 95.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.03 | 3.34 | 3.87 | 95.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.03 | 3.34 | 3.87 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 2.12 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 95.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.95 | 94.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.98 | 3.45 best price | 3.80 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.18 best price | 3.15 | 3.35 | 93.1% |
| 888sport | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 92.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.18 | 3.45 | 4.10 | 100.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.98–2.18 · 10.1% | 3.10–3.45 · 11.3% | 3.35–4.10 · 22.4% | 92.1–97.4% |
How did the Bournemouth – Sunderland odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Sunderland drifted from 3.64 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 4.10 at kick-off, a 12.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BOURNEMOUTH | DRAW | SUNDERLAND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.64 |
| Sun 11 Oct | 2.07 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 2.18 | 3.56 | 4.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 46.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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