Borussia Mönchengladbach – Hoffenheim odds
Hoffenheim went into the match as clear favourites against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
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Borussia Mönchengladbach – Hoffenheim: closing odds analysis
- Hoffenheim were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of an away win, 32% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.05 at Betano, the draw 4.20 at Casino House, Hoffenheim 2.23 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hoffenheim drifted from 1.98 at the opening to 2.23 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 70% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Borussia Mönchengladbach or Hoffenheim?
Hoffenheim, clearly: the closing odds put 12.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Borussia Mönchengladbach – Hoffenheim?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Borussia Mönchengladbach, Casino House on the draw and VBET on Hoffenheim. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.4%) and Bet25 the least (88.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | DRAW | HOFFENHEIM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.05 best price | 4.10 | 2.20 | 97.4% |
| Stake | 2.95 | 4.10 | 2.19 | 96.2% |
| VBET | 2.92 | 4.00 | 2.23 best price | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.14 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.14 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.14 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.14 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 3.00 | 4.20 best price | 2.08 | 95.0% |
| ComeOn | 3.02 | 3.96 | 2.09 | 94.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.99 | 3.93 | 2.07 | 93.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.99 | 3.93 | 2.07 | 93.3% |
| bwin | 2.75 | 3.90 | 2.20 | 93.1% |
| 888sport | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 | 92.8% |
| Bet25 | 2.65 | 3.95 | 2.00 | 88.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.05 | 4.20 | 2.23 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.65–3.05 · 15.1% | 3.90–4.20 · 7.7% | 2.00–2.23 · 11.5% | 88.5–97.4% |
How did the Borussia Mönchengladbach – Hoffenheim odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hoffenheim drifted from 1.98 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.23 at kick-off, a 12.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | DRAW | HOFFENHEIM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 3.35 | 4.20 | 1.98 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 3.30 | 4.20 | 2.06 |
| Sun 18 Oct (kick-off) | 3.05 | 4.20 | 2.23 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 70.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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