Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund odds
Borussia Dortmund went into the match as heavy favourites against Union Berlin.
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Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund: closing odds analysis
- Borussia Dortmund were favourites: the closing odds implied a 61% chance of an away win, 18% for Union Berlin and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Union Berlin 6.20 at VBET, the draw 4.90 at Stake, Borussia Dortmund 1.64 at Oddset.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Union Berlin drifted from 4.50 at the opening to 6.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund, by a distance: the closing odds put 43.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Union Berlin, Stake on the draw and Oddset on Borussia Dortmund. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.5%) and Mr Green the least (91.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | UNION BERLIN | DRAW | BORUSSIA DORTMUND | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 5.60 | 4.50 | 1.60 | 97.5% |
| Stake | 6.00 | 4.90 best price | 1.49 | 96.0% |
| ComeOn | 5.55 | 4.56 | 1.54 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 6.20 best price | 4.50 | 1.50 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 4.75 | 4.25 | 1.64 best price | 94.7% |
| GetLucky | 5.49 | 4.51 | 1.52 | 94.2% |
| Casinostuen | 5.49 | 4.51 | 1.52 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.51 | 93.8% |
| Bet25 | 4.90 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 91.5% |
| 888sport | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.61 | 91.5% |
| Mr Green | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.61 | 91.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.20 | 4.90 | 1.64 | 102.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.50–6.20 · 37.8% | 4.00–4.90 · 22.5% | 1.49–1.64 · 10.1% | 91.5–97.5% |
How did the Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Union Berlin drifted from 4.50 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 6.20 at kick-off, a 37.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | UNION BERLIN | DRAW | BORUSSIA DORTMUND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 4.50 | 4.30 | 1.69 |
| Sun 11 Oct | 4.70 | 4.33 | 1.65 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 6.20 | 4.90 | 1.64 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 57.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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