Troyes β Lens odds
Lens went into the match as heavy favourites against Troyes.
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Troyes β Lens: closing odds analysis
- Lens were favourites: the closing odds implied a 52% chance of an away win, 23% for Troyes and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Troyes 4.40 at Stake, the draw 4.00 at Stake, Lens 1.87 at Betinia.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Troyes drifted from 4.00 at the opening to 4.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Troyes or Lens?
Lens, by a distance: the closing odds put 28.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Troyes β Lens?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Troyes, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Lens. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.3%) and Mr Green the least (92.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | TROYES | DRAW | LENS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 4.33 | 3.87 | 1.82 | 96.3% |
| Stake | 4.40 best price | 4.00 best price | 1.77 | 95.9% |
| Betinia | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.87 best price | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.87 best price | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.87 best price | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.87 best price | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.87 best price | 95.1% |
| SpreadEx | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 94.6% |
| Oddset | 4.00 | 3.85 | 1.82 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 4.10 | 3.75 | 1.82 | 94.3% |
| ComeOn | 4.06 | 3.81 | 1.80 | 94.0% |
| GetLucky | 4.02 | 3.78 | 1.79 | 93.3% |
| Casinostuen | 4.02 | 3.78 | 1.79 | 93.3% |
| Betmaster | 4.00 | 3.65 | 1.82 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 92.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.87 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.90β4.40 Β· 12.8% | 3.60β4.00 Β· 11.1% | 1.77β1.87 Β· 5.6% | 92.3β96.3% |
How did the Troyes β Lens odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Troyes drifted from 4.00 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 4.40 at kick-off, a 10.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TROYES | DRAW | LENS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.83 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.87 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 58.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 Γ· (1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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