Swansea City β West Ham odds
West Ham went into the match as clear favourites against Swansea City.
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Swansea City β West Ham: closing odds analysis
- West Ham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of an away win, 28% for Swansea City and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Swansea City 3.40 at Betinia, the draw 3.75 at Betinia, West Ham 2.15 at Betano.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on West Ham drifted from 1.98 at the opening to 2.15 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Swansea City or West Ham?
West Ham, clearly: the closing odds put 17.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Swansea City β West Ham?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Swansea City, Betinia on the draw and Betano on West Ham. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | SWANSEA CITY | DRAW | WEST HAM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 3.40 best price | 3.75 best price | 2.05 | 95.4% |
| CampoBet | 3.40 best price | 3.75 best price | 2.05 | 95.4% |
| Betoro | 3.40 best price | 3.75 best price | 2.05 | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 3.40 best price | 3.75 best price | 2.05 | 95.4% |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.75 best price | 2.15 best price | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 3.25 | 3.65 | 2.10 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 3.27 | 3.62 | 2.05 | 93.5% |
| Casinomoto | 3.40 best price | 3.60 | 2.00 | 93.3% |
| SpreadEx | 3.40 best price | 3.60 | 2.00 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 3.24 | 3.58 | 2.03 | 92.5% |
| Casinostuen | 3.24 | 3.58 | 2.03 | 92.5% |
| Stake | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 3.15 | 3.70 | 2.02 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 92.2% |
| VBET | 3.21 | 3.47 | 2.00 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.02 | 90.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.15 | 97.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.15β3.40 Β· 7.9% | 3.40β3.75 Β· 10.3% | 2.00β2.15 Β· 7.5% | 90.4β95.4% |
How did the Swansea City β West Ham odds move before kick-off?
The best price on West Ham drifted from 1.98 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 2.15 at kick-off, a 8.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SWANSEA CITY | DRAW | WEST HAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.98 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.35 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 57.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 Γ· (1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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