Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain odds
Paris Saint-Germain went into the match as heavy favourites against Strasbourg.
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Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain: closing odds analysis
- Paris Saint-Germain were favourites: the closing odds implied a 67% chance of an away win, 16% for Strasbourg and 18% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Strasbourg 6.25 at Stake, the draw 5.66 at Betinia, Paris Saint-Germain 1.47 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Strasbourg shortened from 6.50 at the opening to 6.09 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Strasbourg or Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain, by a distance: the closing odds put 50.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Strasbourg, Betinia on the draw and bwin on Paris Saint-Germain. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.1%) and Bet25 the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | STRASBOURG | DRAW | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 6.25 best price | 5.25 | 1.45 | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 6.00 | 5.66 best price | 1.41 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 6.00 | 5.66 best price | 1.41 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 6.00 | 5.66 best price | 1.41 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 6.00 | 5.66 best price | 1.41 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 6.00 | 5.66 best price | 1.41 | 95.0% |
| VBET | 6.00 | 5.20 | 1.44 | 94.9% |
| bwin | 5.75 | 5.00 | 1.47 best price | 94.9% |
| ComeOn | 6.09 | 5.35 | 1.41 | 94.3% |
| SpreadEx | 6.00 | 5.25 | 1.40 | 93.3% |
| Betmaster | 5.80 | 5.00 | 1.43 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 6.04 | 5.30 | 1.39 | 93.1% |
| Casinostuen | 6.04 | 5.30 | 1.39 | 93.1% |
| 888sport | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 5.20 | 5.40 | 1.38 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 6.25 | 5.66 | 1.47 | 98.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.20–6.25 · 20.2% | 5.00–5.66 · 13.2% | 1.38–1.47 · 6.5% | 90.7–96.1% |
How did the Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Strasbourg shortened from 6.50 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 6.09 at kick-off, a 6.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | STRASBOURG | DRAW | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 6.50 | 5.60 | 1.42 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 6.33 | 5.95 | 1.43 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 6.09 | 5.95 | 1.47 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 62.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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