Southend United – Berkhamsted odds
Southend United went into the match as heavy favourites against Berkhamsted.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Southend United – Berkhamsted: closing odds analysis
- Southend United were favourites: the closing odds implied a 69% chance of a home win, 12% for Berkhamsted and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Southend United 1.36 at bwin, the draw 5.50 at bwin, Berkhamsted 9.60 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Berkhamsted shortened from 10.00 at the opening to 9.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Southend United or Berkhamsted?
Southend United, by a distance: the closing odds put 57.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Southend United – Berkhamsted?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Southend United, bwin on the draw and VBET on Berkhamsted. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (95.6%) and VBET the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | SOUTHEND UNITED | DRAW | BERKHAMSTED | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.36 best price | 5.50 best price | 7.75 | 95.6% |
| Stake | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.80 | 91.0% |
| VBET | 1.33 | 4.10 | 9.60 best price | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.36 | 5.50 | 9.60 | 97.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.33–1.36 · 2.3% | 4.10–5.50 · 34.1% | 6.80–9.60 · 41.2% | 90.9–95.6% |
How did the Southend United – Berkhamsted odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Berkhamsted shortened from 10.00 when odds opened on 17 Oct to 9.60 at kick-off, a 4.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SOUTHEND UNITED | DRAW | BERKHAMSTED |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 17 Oct (open) | 1.33 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 1.36 | 5.50 | 9.60 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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