Plymouth Parkway – Chertsey Town odds
Plymouth Parkway went into the match as clear favourites against Chertsey Town.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Plymouth Parkway – Chertsey Town: closing odds analysis
- Plymouth Parkway were favourites: the closing odds implied a 48% chance of a home win, 27% for Chertsey Town and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Plymouth Parkway 2.00 at VBET, the draw 3.80 at bwin, Chertsey Town 3.50 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Chertsey Town shortened from 3.90 at the opening to 3.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Plymouth Parkway or Chertsey Town?
Plymouth Parkway, clearly: the closing odds put 20.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Plymouth Parkway – Chertsey Town?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Plymouth Parkway, bwin on the draw and bwin on Chertsey Town. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.2%) and VBET the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | PLYMOUTH PARKWAY | DRAW | CHERTSEY TOWN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.95 | 3.80 best price | 3.50 best price | 94.2% |
| Stake | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.50 best price | 91.0% |
| VBET | 2.00 best price | 3.64 | 3.08 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 95.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.83–2.00 · 9.3% | 3.64–3.80 · 4.4% | 3.08–3.50 · 13.6% | 91.0–94.2% |
How did the Plymouth Parkway – Chertsey Town odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Chertsey Town shortened from 3.90 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 3.50 at kick-off, a 10.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PLYMOUTH PARKWAY | DRAW | CHERTSEY TOWN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 1.82 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Sat 17 Oct | 1.97 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 61.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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