Norwich City β Portsmouth odds
Norwich City went into the match as heavy favourites against Portsmouth.
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Norwich City β Portsmouth: closing odds analysis
- Norwich City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 52% chance of a home win, 23% for Portsmouth and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Norwich City 1.87 at Oddset, the draw 3.80 at bwin, Portsmouth 4.33 at SpreadEx.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Norwich City drifted from 1.66 at the opening to 1.87 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Norwich City or Portsmouth?
Norwich City, by a distance: the closing odds put 28.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Norwich City β Portsmouth?
It depended on the outcome: Oddset was best on Norwich City, bwin on the draw and SpreadEx on Portsmouth. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | NORWICH CITY | DRAW | PORTSMOUTH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.75 | 4.25 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 1.87 best price | 3.75 | 4.00 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.84 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 95.0% |
| SpreadEx | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.33 best price | 94.6% |
| Casinomoto | 1.81 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 93.6% |
| bwin | 1.82 | 3.80 best price | 3.90 | 93.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.82 | 3.71 | 3.96 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 1.81 | 3.68 | 3.93 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.81 | 3.68 | 3.93 | 92.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.81 | 3.80 best price | 3.80 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 92.6% |
| Stake | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.10 | 92.4% |
| VBET | 1.72 | 3.53 | 4.20 | 90.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.80 | 3.45 | 3.80 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.87 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 97.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.72β1.87 Β· 8.7% | 3.45β3.80 Β· 10.1% | 3.80β4.33 Β· 14.0% | 90.2β95.1% |
How did the Norwich City β Portsmouth odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Norwich City drifted from 1.66 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 1.87 at kick-off, a 12.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | NORWICH CITY | DRAW | PORTSMOUTH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 1.83 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 1.87 | 4.15 | 4.33 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 55.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 Γ· (1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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