Lille – Brest odds
Lille went into the match as clear favourites against Brest.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Lille – Brest: closing odds analysis
- Lille were favourites: the closing odds implied a 46% chance of a home win, 27% for Brest and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lille 2.14 at VBET, the draw 3.65 at Stake, Brest 3.66 at Betinia.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lille drifted from 1.73 at the opening to 2.14 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lille or Brest?
Lille, clearly: the closing odds put 18.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lille – Brest?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Lille, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Brest. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.2%) and Bet25 the least (91.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | LILLE | DRAW | BREST | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.12 | 3.65 best price | 3.40 | 96.2% |
| VBET | 2.14 best price | 3.45 | 3.53 | 96.1% |
| Oddset | 2.09 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 94.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.07 | 3.57 | 3.37 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 94.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.05 | 3.53 | 3.34 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 2.05 | 3.53 | 3.34 | 93.4% |
| Betmaster | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.35 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 91.9% |
| Mr Green | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 91.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.98 | 3.65 best price | 3.20 | 91.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.66 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.98–2.14 · 8.1% | 3.40–3.65 · 7.4% | 3.20–3.66 · 14.4% | 91.6–96.2% |
How did the Lille – Brest odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lille drifted from 1.73 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 2.14 at kick-off, a 23.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LILLE | DRAW | BREST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 1.84 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 2.14 | 3.72 | 3.66 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Ligue 1 odds
- Troyes – Le HavreFri 20 Nov · 20:45
- Nice – Paris Saint-GermainSat 21 Nov · 17:15
- Lens – ToulouseSat 21 Nov · 20:45
- Lille – LyonSat 21 Nov · 20:45
- Monaco – AuxerreSat 21 Nov · 20:45
- Strasbourg – BrestSat 21 Nov · 20:45
- Paris FC – AngersSun 22 Nov · 15:00
- Lorient – RennesSun 22 Nov · 17:15
- Marseille – Le MansSun 22 Nov · 20:45
- Ligue 1 odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.