Kidderminster Harriers – Solihull Moors odds
Kidderminster Harriers went into the match as clear favourites against Solihull Moors.
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2nd Half
Kidderminster Harriers – Solihull Moors: closing odds analysis
- Kidderminster Harriers were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 26% for Solihull Moors and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Kidderminster Harriers 2.00 at bwin, the draw 4.10 at VBET, Solihull Moors 3.66 at VBET.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Solihull Moors drifted from 3.00 at the opening to 3.66 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Kidderminster Harriers or Solihull Moors?
Kidderminster Harriers, clearly: the closing odds put 23.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Kidderminster Harriers – Solihull Moors?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Kidderminster Harriers, VBET on the draw and VBET on Solihull Moors. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.7%) and Stake the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | KIDDERMINSTER HARRIERS | DRAW | SOLIHULL MOORS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 2.00 best price | 3.70 | 3.50 | 94.7% |
| VBET | 1.72 | 4.10 best price | 3.66 best price | 91.0% |
| Stake | 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.45 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.00 | 4.10 | 3.66 | 98.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.72–2.00 · 16.3% | 3.60–4.10 · 13.9% | 3.45–3.66 · 6.1% | 90.9–94.7% |
How did the Kidderminster Harriers – Solihull Moors odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Solihull Moors drifted from 3.00 when odds opened on 17 Oct to 3.66 at kick-off, a 22.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | KIDDERMINSTER HARRIERS | DRAW | SOLIHULL MOORS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 17 Oct (open) | 2.29 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 2.05 | 4.10 | 3.66 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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